Friday, March 27, 2009

03/30/09 thoughts

Urban Survival...

Those that charge interest and lend money given no opposition from honest men will indeed end up owning all the means of production. Want historical precedent? Why sure...Where have we read about money-changers and this kind of behavior before? Matthew 21:12 was it? Wonder if it's covered in the Book of Timothy? Maybe this time...

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In science fiction, the notion was for many years that time was a line and it started way back down the timeline in some primordial soup and it moves along toward some nearly infinite future when the sun goes supernova and anything left on earth will be toast; not that it's a worry for us, since we'll be dust long before then.

What's curious is the circular or repeating patterns in time, such that if you understand the cyclical nature just right, you can site back, enjoy (or not) what's coming.

Why explain this? Yeah it's early and all, but last week I got a couple of early 1980's MP3's from a reader who is a singer-songwriter. Now remember, these songs (which you can play as MP3's, are more than 20-years old. Yet, the content and lyrics could be plucked out of today's headlines...

Titles: Tent City and California IOU

by Alan Land

Manco Arts Publishing

Copyright 1983

So there you have it: If you missed California's tent cities in the 1980's, here's another chance to see 'em. Miss California's 1980's budget disaster? No sweat...we're brining it back, just for you; or is that IOU?

And the lesson is? How about "The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different outcome" just for starters? Insanity, California...hmmm...somehow it all fits.


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Patriot or Terrorist?





Thursday, March 26, 2009

03/26/09 update

Why does nobody talk about the fact that it is not just A BAILOUT? When in fact it has been more like 6...SIX f*cking BAILOUTS!!! The American tax-payer is potentially on the hook for over 3 trillion...3 TRILLION dollars. To be "honest" that is 3,000,000 million or 3 million million.

03/26/09 thoughts

'Google' this- CHINAS INVESTMENT AN OPEN BOOK, and read the 4-page interview that Leslie Stahl

"In other words, we’re all but dependent on Chinese investments. Beyond this fund, China holds half a trillion dollars in U.S. Treasury bonds. For that reason economist Navarro says they have us over a barrel. If they don’t like our behavior, he says all, they have to do is dump all their U.S. investments. It’s known as the financial nuclear option.

"What would that do? That will cause interest rates to spike. Mortgage rates to spike. Inflation to spike. The dollar to go through the floor. The stock market to go into chaos," Navarro said. "We would be in deep, deep, deep trouble.""
Really good article even if it is almost a year old.
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Urban Survival...

On one hand I am so excited to see this pop up; I have no desire to give my tax dollars to a lazy homeless sack who doesn't think enough of him/herself to help themselves. On the other hand, I hate the idea that this is one more agency growing within the Govt

Pass the Pee Cup Department

We see now that lawmakers in eight (or more) states want to make passing a drug test a precondition for getting welfare. OK, but turnabout is fair play: How about mandatory IQ testing for lawmakers?

I can see 'hard' drugs, like opiates, ecstasy, and such. But something like pot which can be grown free instead of being purchased (and taxed) by the booze lobby? So, here's my plan: If they include booze testing, fine. Otherwise, free from plants ought not to be a rule-out. I'm just saying, why should the booze biz benefit from higher consumption in hard times? Under the guise of what?

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You saw where DEA raided a [medical] pot dispensary in San Francisco just days after the Obama folks signals that such operations would not be interfered with if they operated within state laws, which it's claimed this one wasn't.

Let us know where the burning is so we can all go stand downwind, LOL. Same page, anyone?

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Ah the days of being a reporter. I remember being at the dock when the Helena Star, busted in international waters by the Coast Guard with 37-tons of pot aboard showed up on the Seattle waterfront under strong guard in 1978....those were the days. A ship off the coast instead of gangs at the border.

Boy, has enlightened federal drug policy come a long way, or what? Yessir...turned a cottage industry and a few high speed boats into a near war with Mexico. What a deal, huh? Plus spend how much in the past 30 years? And what's in your wallet? Not accountability, for sure.


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Spaced

North Korea is getting ready to test a long-range missile. What a load-a-crap! Launching missiles about is thought by many lesser country leaders to be a kind of international erectile dysfunction cure. It's not. It's a money sinkhole. Better: How about feeding NK citizens?


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Great monologue on time management and focus!


Coping: Pre-loading and Other PIM Concepts

You might want to spend some time working on PIM - personal information management. Very few people are conscious enough of their daily computer use to develop a 'personal information management strategy', but since I was discussing the concept of 'self profiling' with you earlier this week, I thought it would be a useful follow-up to also get into how Cliff at www.halfpasthuman.com and I share some commonalities with regard to how we use the net.

For one thing, since we have a pretty good idea as to when certain trends/changes seem likely to occur, based on the asymmetric language trend analysis (ALTA) reports, that gives us gobs of time to devote to forward-looking, deeper study of key developments. For example, we know that certain aspects of the weather are going to be worse/different this year than most, and we know the 'summer of hell/2009' language is abundant. Easily hedged to some degree, but most people don't (or won't) since they are bound up in day-to-day mindless crap; so their 'window of opportunity' to prep for what's next in this Year of Transformation dribbles out their DSL modem as they walk away from being in charge of their own outcome and instead join 'the herd'.

In other words, while there may be tons of news and discussion of something like this plane crash, that murder, or that Hollywood personality being in court for [whatever], but if you think for a moment "Does this have the remotest chance in hell of meaning anything in your personal life outcome 20-years from now?" In most cases, the answer is "No!".

Why do you do it? What do you do about it?

Example at a social level: Sure, there's something about watching the news - maybe it's the imminence of death' factor - that keeps people spellbound and worried about this possible next development, or that. It's like: Why do people go to NASCAR races? Is it really to see how fast automobiles can go while turning left? Or, is it something more...some imminence of death, danger shared with a crowd phenomena?

Don't get me wrong, I like car racing and all, but I'm more a do-it-yourselfer inasmuch as I like tracks that turn both right and left (I'm talking a road course here). Which is why instead of having a bunch of posters for this stock car driver or that, I instead invest in books like Car Lopez's Going Faster! Mastering the Art of Race Driving. Great refresher, once you've tasted what its like to be in an open wheel car going 100+ and heading into turn 7 and the 'corkscrew' at Laguna Seca. You get to know them braking markers...but that was almost 10-years ago.

My point is that using the 'net is reasonable analog to car racing. Some people are 'watchers'. They will read every joke sent to them, and then they will go to every video link, follow endless online discussions; but I ask "To what end?" Cliff's a 'mechanic' and good driver on the road course that is the 'net and I'm a decent rookie driver. Say, is that you up there in the stands?

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Avoid excessive depth in news reports as this has its dangers, too. Analysis can get so deep, so circular given the amount of information today, that making a judgment becomes all but impossible; there are so many facts on both sides to be considered. What's the old saying? Ah: "Analysis causes paralysis." So how does one come up with proceed? By taking a moment before doing any Google search or second/third/fourth version of one news item and asking "What am I going to do with this information once I get it?"

You could add lots of sub-routines to that one, for sure. Like "Is this going to be useful information? Will is change any of my behavior? Change any outcome now, or in the future in my life?" If the answer is often "No...but it would be nice to know...." that's one thing. But I've found myself wasting an incredible amount of time in the past surfing eBay and other sites, with no specific outcome in mind. Here lately, I've become a search & shopping Scrooge: If I can't use the information in some specific application now or in the near future, I won't do the search.

These couple of points alone can free up hours a day. The next one is how you parse (sort/decide what to read) in your email inbox. Although I appreciate people sending me jokes and pictures, I don't really have much time for that. If someone sends me 4 mb of video, I will be very judicious based on the cover email in my decision whether to watch. Most go right to trash.

Ultra-high efficiency guys like Cliff even go so far as to strip off all attachments, and cue mail into his Vortex Reader and slam through emails at 1,500 words per minute. I use my Vortex for longer documents and books...quadrupling my input speed.. If you don't know how to use an email router, I assure you, it's worth the effort. Clients come first, so they have boxes. Friends/relatives next, again, with boxes. Ditto Peoplenomics subscribers. Everything else has a heap. Gets read, but wow, does it go fast.

Then there's the matter of discussion groups. While these are nice, I only subscribe to a handful and of these, I'll only read one or two posts per day max, just to keep up on the flavor of the discussions. One discussion group on longwave economics and one on old-time Hallicrafters radios just to keep by electronics trouble-shooting skills current.

A 'danger' of discussion groups is that they lend themselves well to a kind of consensus-building that I'd just as soon not take part in; we've got plenty of group-think afoot in America already. Instead, I just pass on most everything available understanding, of course, that there are occasional bits of brilliance in such groups, but Cliff's linguistic spidering gets some of that and the rest I can live without. The problem with the group-think/consensus building? You lose independence of perspective.

It boils down to a framing something like this: "Do I want to spend a lot of time (say 200-hours a year) being involved in consensus-building? Or, do I just need 5-minutes of research time if the group purpose/consensus ever shows up in my life?" I'll take the latter, thanks. In the meantime, I can remain aloof, independent, and develop my own viewpoint which people can read, or not, as they choose.

Summary:

  • Put yourself on a news diet: One or two mainstreams for 20-minutes per day.

  • A handful of sites you enjoy which post daily (hopefully this one will remain on your list)

  • Skip any email which even smells like a joke and trash all videos and 'forward this to everyone you know' because that's potential self-profiling material and/or just a waste of time

  • No more than 15-minutes a day in discussion groups and no more than a single posting a week.

This may seem overly harsh, but people sometimes ask "How do you get so much done?" The answer is to cut out as much unnecessary bullshit from my life as possible. In the end Life comes down to only a couple of things (and you can arrange these in whatever order you want):

  • Doing the things you have to do like

    • Selling your time to make money

    • Paying your taxes/living within social bounds

    • Taking care of bodily functions

    • Doing the dishes

  • Doing the things you want to do

    • Maintain a reasonable information input/filtering system

    • Work on personal goals such as

      • food, economic, and health independence

    • Strive toward spiritual growth/find your Path and be on it

'Course this is all debatable no end, but not much point to debate because again, that's one of those PIMS issues: Don't waste time arguing with people. It's not my job to change your mind, just one of my jobs to do this site since it 'calls to me' (see Path and be on it).

This is not a course in how to be a hermit. This is how you can improve your use of personal time immensely. Have you called your Congressman on this lousy Farm-busting bill HR 875? What's more important? Forwarding some mindless bullshit video and jokes or getting on the blower to Washington and demanding some of this crap end....now!

Or were you caught up in the latest flame war in some discussion group? See how the 'net can be used for social control? Too busy talking and no time on going. It's fine bread, and better circuses

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

03/25/09 thoughts

Courtesy of BH

"This is just awsome. Even the EU is calling Obama out for what he is.

So long "shining city on a hill", hello Cabrini Green Section 8 Projects.

EU presidency: US economic plans 'a way to hell'

European Union president, calls US economic measures 'a way to hell'

STRASBOURG, France (AP) -- A top European Union politician on Wednesday slammed U.S. plans to spend its way out of recession as "a way to hell."

Czech Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek, whose country currently holds the EU presidency, told the European Parliament that President Barack Obama's massive stimulus package and banking bailout "will undermine the stability of the global financial market."

A day after his government collapsed because of a parliamentary vote of no-confidence, Topolanek took the EU presidency on a collision course with Washington over how to deal with the global economic recession.

Most European leaders favor tighter financial regulation, while the U.S. has been pushing for larger economic stimulus plans.

Topolanek's comments are the strongest criticism so far from a European leader as the 27-nation bloc bristles from recent U.S. criticism that it is not spending enough to stimulate demand.

They also pave the way for a stormy summit next week in London between leaders of the Group of 20 industrialized countries.

The host of the summit, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, praised Obama on Tuesday for his willingness to work with Europe on reforming the global economy in the run-up to the G-20 summit.

The United States plans to spend heavily to try and lift its economy out of recession with a $787 billion economic stimulus plan of tax rebates, health and welfare benefits, as well as extra energy and infrastructure spending.

To encourage banks to lend again, the government will also pump $1 trillion into the financial system by buying up treasury bonds and mortgage securities in an effort to clear some of the "toxic assets" -- devalued and untradeable assets -- from banks' balance sheets.

Topolanek bluntly said that "the United States did not take the right path.".

He slammed the U.S.' widening budget deficit and protectionist trade measures -- such as the "Buy America" -- and said that "all of these steps, these combinations and permanency is the way to hell."

"We need to read the history books and the lessons of history and the biggest success of the (EU) is the refusal to go this way," he said.

"Americans will need liquidity to finance all their measures and they will balance this with the sale of their bonds but this will undermine the stability of the global financial market," said Topolanek.

Obama insisted Tuesday that his massive budget proposal is moving the nation down the right path and will help the ailing economy grow again. "This budget is inseparable from this recovery," he said, "because it is what lays the foundation for a secure and lasting prosperity."

Obama also claimed early progress in his aggressive campaign to lead the United States out of its worst economic crisis in 70 years and declared that despite obstacles ahead, the U.S. is "moving in the right direction."

AP Business Writer Aoife White in Brussels contributed to this report"

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Good Article on Obama's Presidency ...and I really like the response below.

When you've brought to economy to its knees, it can only go back up. Even if Obama didn't do anything, things would have still turned around.

We were told that we had to pass the stimulus bill over night or the economy would fail in a matter of days. Yet, once the bill was passed - nothing happened. He promised to pass all bills in the "light of day". He did exactly the opposite.

Seems like Obama's policy is this - since the economy is suffering, let's spend money on everything else that's not.


["I suspect some of those Republican critics have a short memory," Obama said, in response to a question about his deficit-busting budget. "As I recall I'm inheriting a $1.3 trillion annual deficit from them."]

Questions:
+ Who controlled the congress during Bush's second term?
Answer: The Democratic Party

+ Who CHOSE to run for the presidency?
Answer: Obama

+ Who voted Bush in the office TWICE?
Answer: The American People?

+ Who found a loop-hole to give them selves a pay raise without anyone watching?
+ Answer: Congress (Democratic Party)

+ What types of states are failing more than others?
Answer: Those managed by Democrats

Additionally, Who are is this "them" that Obama speaks of? One day its all about "let's work together" and the next they "they are to blame". So if the system works for him, all is well. And when the system doesn't work for him, blame-blame-blame.

We know that we can NEVER expect Obama to fully serve as a president who will stop pushing blame on others and step up to the plate. The only plate he has ever stepped up to are the dinner plates at the White House parties (while the market tumbles week after week).

I love Obama's move to have Joe watch the stimulus money. Joe has no future political aspirations - so should there be any issues on misspending the money, Obama will hang Joe out to dry

Note to Joe: When Obama leaves you holding the Stimulus Bag - consider writing a book as part of your retirement strategy.

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Urban Survival...

Not that I'm the only skeptic that the right medicine has been administered yet to cure-what-ails-us: Paul Tharp's got a good story in the NY Post this morning headlined "Nobel Laureates trash plan for toxic assets. One key quote (which mirrors what I've been telling you for who long?) goes like so:

"Three Nobel winners Edward Prescott, president of the Federal Reserve Bank in Minneapolis, and economics Professors Vernon Smith and James Buchanan stood by their joint statement months ago that Congress was playing in fantasyland with the huge bailout.

They call the rescue effort "a triumph of hope over experience to believe that more government will help the United States today."

So with all this going on, the biggest story of the day may turn out to be the start of the Fed coming into the market today to start purchasing of Treasuries to unfreeze the credit mess. As I've warned before, this a a 'snake-swallows-its-own-tail' kind of thing. Once started down that path in previous economies, the snake starts to get a real appetite going.

Am I the only financial reporter who's got a $105-billion in expired Zimbabwe dollars taped on my office wall to remind me how hungry that kind of snake gets?


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Things are bad when...


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Here's a world-changer for you: The U.S. Navy has a research team which has experimental confirmed cold fusion according to an article this week in EE Times. This is the best article I could find on it and it has the diagram of the experimental container, too.


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Feeling Better

Here: You judge the quip and the dead:

"I'm getting the feeling that these people are falsely comforted by the fact that somehow by having the word trillion at their disposal means that the concept of a trillion has meaning when in fact they might just as well be speaking of infinity."

Shhh!!! You'll be giving Robert Mugabe and the band of Washington socialist wannabe's ideas: "One-infinity, two-infinites, three-infinities....."

Simple choice: Hard government & soft money, or hard money & soft government... easy, huh?

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One more to ponder: "An armed society is a polite society" notes a ham radio friend. Yup.


Tuesday, March 24, 2009

03/24/09 thoughts

No original thoughts this afternoon. I am tired.

Urban Survival...


'Death of the Dollar' Department

The 'death of the dollar' is something which has been kicking around predictive linguistic modelspace up at www.halfpasthuman.com for several years now. And since we've got a working Theorem that 'the further in advance we see something in modelspace, the larger the impact of the event seems to be' and since we've had a couple of years of 'November' references, it seems that by the end of this year, the Barak Obama is likely to be facing one of the worst crisis ever to confront a President. Not only will he be facing a country full of social unrest in the wake of the "summer of hell/200', but we read now today how "China calls for a new reserve currency" which will be a financial nightmare of the worst possible sort.

As we've been expecting, this will r4eally 'get traction' in May, but already the Russians have been making similar noises and Vlad Putin will be putting on a pitch at the April G20 meetings.

True, yesterday's rally in the stock market was impressive as the Washington Post headlined it "Stocks Soar Most Since November On Toxic Asset Plan, Rise in Home Sales." but already weighing whether our long awaited springs rally might finally be arriving, or, a bit more darkly, if this is just the professionals having a fine 'running of the shorts' so they won't be hurt when a final bottom carved out in the next few weeks.

Not that it matters. If the kind of inflation that bailout seems to infer becomes real, gold's fall over the past couple of days may become the 'last train out'. Or, will we go back down to the $700 range one more time? Careful judgment is required and there's no 'one-size-fits-all' answer.

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There are times in the past that I've used commodity price movement for clues and sure enough, those Capitalist Tools over at Forbes are reporting that "Key commodities jump on US plan to clean up banks." Sooner, or later, those are going to show up in the grocery stores.

In addition to food commodities, the headlines also crossed this morning that the "OPEC basket price continues to gain, reches USF 50.18 pb" and with oil hitting those per barrel levels, the input costs for ag are bound to be heading up, too. Time to do more stocking up, if you're a farmer.


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Longage of Humans, Redux

Jay Hanson, who performed a huge public service with his legendary http://dieoff.org/ site, was the first writer I encountered to use the term 'longage' of something. It's the opposite or a 'shortage.'

Longages of anything cause interesting effects, not the least of which is the financial mess humanity finds itself in today. It's pretty obvious that the ideal thing to do would be to crunch down the number of humans to perhaps 5% of what it is today and start over with a little higher consciousness about how things develop. naturally, the PowersThatBe have figured this out, but lots of others have arrived at the same thoughtstination.

One of Gordo (the gold and mint seller) Brown's green advisors, Jonathon Porritt says that in order to achieve a sustainable society, the UK must cut its population in half.

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Of course, that begs the question of the selection process by which this all happens. I'm partial to environmental collapse because that would be a pretty decent/impartial way to sort out who's got hard work and survival skills, but I'm sure government will have some other plan in time.

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Making the Rounds

A reader sends in this one:

"Members of Congress should be compelled to wear uniforms like NASCAR drivers, so we can identify their corporate sponsors."

Of course, it would never work. The print would be too fine to read.


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Coping: Silently Self-Profiling -- YOU

A couple of readers have asked me lately "Is there some stuff on your mind that's bothering you? You sound kinda bleak lately." Well, yeah, kinda sorta maybe. Let me share just one of those things that's been bothering me; perhaps you'll understand. Here's what's going on:

It starts off simply enough...you get an email from a friend and it says something like: "OMG You have to see this video about [fill in the blank]. Because you're very interested in [fill in the blank] as a topic, you click over to the link to see what's a highly charged video about [fill in the blank] and the video urges you to 'tell all your friends about this video and send them the link...'.

If you're not computer/military/PowersThatBe savvy, you're likely to pass on the link without giving it a second thought. But you should give it some serious thought whenever you follow links because when you follow links you may be self-profiling yourself to the government.

Amazing? Well, no, pretty simple programming exercise, really. And, if you had the 'summer of hell/2009' coming up due to all kinds of social stresses and the breakdown of the social contract, right about now if you were trying to defend the existing social paradigm, you'd be doing the same thing, too.

It's called 'memeering' and according to our predictive linguistics friends at www.halfpasthuman.com the program is already underway. Toward what end? Well, what's a low-cost way to find out who is what kind of potential threat to your paradigm? I'll show you how it works, step-by-step so you 'get it'.

  • It begins with a government setting up a web site with an emotionally charged video about something like 'black powder' or 'inter-racial relations'.

  • Then a series of postings is put out on the net in places where such a video would likely get a lot of attention. Say, in a 'black powder' kind of video they will post something emotionally compelling to a bunch of gun web sites and discussion groups.

  • Next, when someone goes to the web site involved, it's a simple matter for the site to log your internet protocol address. Skeptical? go to www.whatismyip.com and your 'net address comes up.

Congratulations! You have just gotten yourself into a government database of people who have an 'interest in black powder'. Since you probably don't spend as much 'head space' as we do, thinking about such computer applications, what this looks like in database set theory can be visualized this way:

So far, so good. Now, let's further suppose that want to narrow down the kind of people that would also be interested in anti-establishment direct action. Next step? Another video (or web site) only this time, we are going to use a topic like, oh, say "Startling New WTO video!" Such that folks going to this second vid site will likely include some people who also have an interest in black powder, like so:

Now, it becomes a simple matter to say "Hey! See that IP Address 12.191.191.5? That shows up in BOTH groups. This intersection between sets in database operations is the vesica pisces.

But now, let's take it one step further, because so far, it's still far too many people to round up and throw in special 'camps' should the country get into a period of social unrest; say over a 'summer of hell/2009' period. So we will put up another site, only this time it might be something like "List of upcoming "Tea Party" events. Like so:

So, you see, it's all very simple, once you get the basis concept down: How will you be self-selecting whether you get judged a 'threat' or not is a simple matter of keeping track of which links you followed to get where.

More important? There's also a simple way to build 'social networks' this way because not only is your IP address logged, but so is the time of your visit. So as this kind of data snooping continues - as long as lots of folks don't understand it, when you forward one of these sites, you are then in effect telling whatever government "Hey, I am linked to Joe your bother-in-law over here"...and pretty quick not only do they know who has an interest in guns, WTO demonstrations, and upcoming Tea Party events, but they also know that when your IP address shows up, in say half a dozen such exercises, that "Joe your brother-in-law" shows up within a day or two, and he's already on their 'threats to society' list because he actually carried a sign and was ID'ed at some other kind of event...maybe an environmentalist affair of some kind. And they get all Joe your brother-in-laws connections, too, until pretty quick you get a map in a social networking application that might look like this:

File:SNA segment.png

So here's my bottom line: When you do any kind of social networking, be extremely careful with whom you associate. Or, in the case of Cliff and me, simply don't follow unknown links. Nothing wrong with YouTube and Google video, but even there, the IP snooping that goes on at the phone company level is pretty awesome,; which is what the privacy people get all worked up about.

Why am I bringing this up today? Because the web bot project has been running across more of these kinds of memeering operations lately which means one of these days, one or more of them will show up in your email. And, as they do, no matter how tempting it may seem to follow this emotionally highly-charged link just remember that in the process you are self-sorting yourself into some kind of a government profile as part of 'total information awareness' programs designed to enable preemptions, national security rating, and in a worst of all cases scenario, your round-up priority if you've identified yourself as a 'risk' to the existing paradigm.

Although it may be too late to do anything about it, if you've already gotten such emails and followed them. But WTF, its easier to explain it now than waiting till the October-November period when there is a small, but non-zero, chance some rounding up will be done.

Oh...one more thing: If you think you can 'beat the system' by using an open access proxy server somewhere? Are you kidding? Those would be almost the very first people to round up because they're smart enough to 'get it' and therefore are the most threatening there are to the existing paradigm, are you kidding?

Yes, this is exactly what the electronic freedom fighters are all about, but that battle's been over for a long time. Sorry. You lost. Oh sure, something like the Google Street View controversy seems like the right fight, but are you kidding? Hell no, it's a minor distraction to keep the public off the real deal memeering.